Monday, April 23, 2012

2nd round of French elections

Here is a dataset with (most of?) the head-to-head polls made between Sarkozy and Hollande. You have the polling institute, the sample size, the date and the poll numbers.

For comparison, here is the dataset for Royal v. Sarkozy 2007, without sample sizes.

(edit: here is a dataset for the first round 2012)

Hopefully, those datasets can be helpful to some people...

I took the data from Wikipedia, and there might be better datasets out there.

To play with the data you can start with the R code provided by Arthur Charpentier. Here are the graphs generated with the 2012 polls only, with smoothing by splines and 95% confidence intervals.

Hollande's numbers

Sarkozy's numbers

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